The one-loss teams, assuming the games are 50/50 here on out, have a 12.5% chance of winning 3 straight games.We will see Plain again, we didn’t have an earned run off of her and Washington is the higher seed. 90% is not correct. Also, rules are rules? That has nothing to do with this situation.
You could say that Washington playing as #1 seed and at home should have a greater than 12.5% chance. However, they lost today despite those advantages. I will stick with the percentages.